Before we discuss airport operators, let's talk about airports themselves. Building an airport is a complex and costly undertaking, and there are many factors to consider, such as:
- Location, where it must accessible to the public with a possibility to expand.
- Runways, which must be a certain length and width and there must be enough of them to handle the anticipated traffic.
- Terminals to handle the passengers and cargo. It must have enough space for check-in, security, baggage handling, and boarding. It also must have enough space for taxis, car parks, and other transportation.
- Support facilities, like fuel storage, maintenance hangers, and air traffic control towers.
- Environment impact, the airport must have a minimal environmental impact. This includes minimizing noise pollution and protecting wildlife.
Building an airport is a complex and expensive undertaking.
However, it can also be a major economic driver, attracting businesses, boosting tourism, and generating foreign income.
As such, governments need to ensure that airports are operated safely, efficiently, and sustainably. Therefore, when selecting airport operators, governments will scrutinize their candidates for experience, management expertise, and commitment to safety.
Once the Airport Operator
got the contract… it can be very ‘Sticky’
Once an
airport operator has been in place for a while, they will have built up a
"sticky" moat. This is because their employees will have learned how
to make full use of the airport's layout, machinery, and other resources. They
will have established a good workflow, and they will have refined it over time.
This takes time and effort, and it is very difficult for a new operator to
replicate.
As a
result, once an airport operator has proven itself to be competent, it will be
very difficult to replace them. The government will have to consider several
factors before making a change, such as:
- Can
the new operator handle a crisis?
- Can
the new operator ensure smooth operations?
- Will
the handover be a smooth process?
Unless the
new operator can offer something significantly better than the incumbent, the
government is likely to stick with the current airport operator.
Unless you are considering
other modes of transportation...
Combo Economic Moat
Therefore an
Airport Operator has a few things going in its favor that can create a wide
economic moat. These include:
- A
Natural Monopoly, there isn’t much choice available for travelers…
- A
Toll-like business, as all travelers using the airport will have to pay certain
fees…
- High
Regulation Requirement, which creates a high barrier of entry for others
- High
Switching Cost, as the government worries if a new operator can perform just as
smoothly as the current operator.
Thus, with
all these combinations, airport operators tend to gain a wide economic moat.
With Economic Moat, does
it mean it's a good business?
Despite the
wide moat airport operators can have, it does not mean that they are on the
road to prosperity. We still have to do our due diligence.
Therefore,
I am just taking a glance at three airport operators. At the time of writing,
the three with the largest market caps are:
1. Airports of Thailand (AOT)
2. Aena (AENA)
3. Shanghai Airport (SHA)
I will be
briefly looking at their Revenue trend, Net Income trend, and then Gross
Margin.
These details
will show roughly how profitable these companies are.
AOT’s Revenue, Net
Income Trend, and Gross Margin
AENA’s Revenue, Net
Income Trend, and Gross Margin
SHA’s Revenue, Net
Income Trend, and Gross Margin
These companies had been growing their revenue and net income for years, with gross margins consistently above 50%. However, the COVID-19 pandemic struck, and their businesses were severely disrupted.
Conclusion
I was
inspired by Beansprout’s article “Airports of Thailand - Beneficiary of
Thailand's tourism recovery”, https://growbeansprout.com/aot-airports-of-thailand-thai-tourism-recovery,
which discusses what factors benefit AOT and what are the risks AOT may faces.
However, I still
want to learn more about AOT and airport operator business in general. Thus, this
motivates me to write this blog post.
I am not disappointed by this type of business. But I still have some concerns, which I have to look into it later on.